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First-Passage Problem in Foreign Exchange Rate

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The Application of Econophysics

Summary

We analyze tick-data of yen-dollar exchange rate and study the distribution of first-passage time (in short FPT), which is defined by the time that the rate firstly moves out from a given range. We report that the distribution of FPT is well described by a stretched exponential function with. This fact indicates that the process of yen-dollar exchange fluctuation is much slower than the normal Brownian motion. Applying the same analysis to the data with stable-volatility we find that the stretched exponential properties are partly related to magnitude of volatility.

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References

  1. Redner, S., A Guide to First-Passage Processes, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, 2001

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  2. Simonsen, I., Jensen, M. H., and Johansen, A., Eur. Phys. J. B 27 583–587 (2002)

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  3. Jensen, M. H., Johansen, A., and Simonsen, I., coud-mat/0211039

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© 2004 Springer Japan

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Kurihara, S., Mizuno, T., Takayasu, H., Takayasu, M. (2004). First-Passage Problem in Foreign Exchange Rate. In: Takayasu, H. (eds) The Application of Econophysics. Springer, Tokyo. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-4-431-53947-6_23

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-4-431-53947-6_23

  • Publisher Name: Springer, Tokyo

  • Print ISBN: 978-4-431-67961-5

  • Online ISBN: 978-4-431-53947-6

  • eBook Packages: Springer Book Archive

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